Compare buying a home — mortgage P&I, property tax, insurance, HOA, maintenance, appreciation, sale costs — against renting and investing the same upfront cash plus any annual cash-flow gap. The chart marks the break-even year where buying overtakes renting on net wealth.
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After 10 years
Renting wins
Renter comes out $43,239 ahead of the buyer.
How the two paths grow side by side. The vertical dashed line, if present, marks the year buying first overtakes renting.
Tip: shorten the horizon and notice how renting almost always wins in the first 5 years — the upfront closing + selling cost drag is big relative to early home appreciation.
| Yr | Buy cost | Rent cost | Home value | Loan bal | Buyer equity | Renter port. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $42,339 | $30,240 | $517,500 | $395,529 | $90,921 | $135,573 |
| 2 | $42,707 | $31,140 | $535,613 | $390,759 | $112,717 | $157,034 |
| 3 | $43,087 | $32,067 | $554,359 | $385,669 | $135,428 | $179,433 |
| 4 | $43,481 | $33,022 | $573,762 | $380,238 | $159,098 | $202,818 |
| 5 | $43,888 | $34,005 | $593,843 | $374,444 | $183,769 | $227,244 |
| 6 | $44,310 | $35,018 | $614,628 | $368,261 | $209,489 | $252,768 |
| 7 | $44,746 | $36,062 | $636,140 | $361,665 | $236,306 | $279,451 |
| 8 | $45,198 | $37,136 | $658,405 | $354,627 | $264,274 | $307,357 |
| 9 | $45,666 | $38,243 | $681,449 | $347,117 | $293,445 | $336,554 |
| 10 | $46,150 | $39,383 | $705,299 | $339,105 | $323,877 | $367,116 |
Cash-flow gap reinvested at 7% when buying is more expensive than renting in a given year. Tax effects (mortgage interest deduction, primary-residence capital-gains exclusion) are intentionally not modeled — they tend to favour the buyer in high-rate jurisdictions.
The calculator runs two parallel year-by-year ledgers. Both households start with the same upfront cash. The buyer commits it as down payment + closing; the renter invests it. From there each pays housing costs out of income, but the renter additionally invests any year in which buying would cost more than renting.
Buyer: down payment + closing costs. Renter: same total cash invested at the assumed return. This 'fair-cash-position' setup is the standard convention since the 2014 NYT model.
Run 12 months of standard amortization on the mortgage at the entered rate. Add property tax (% of current home value), home insurance (flat), HOA × 12, and maintenance (% of current home value). Step home value forward by the appreciation rate.
End-of-year home value − remaining mortgage balance − selling-cost percentage on the home value. This is the cash the buyer would walk away with if they sold.
Annual rent + renters' insurance × 12 = renter's housing cost. If buying costs more this year, the difference is invested mid-year (half-year compounding); the existing portfolio compounds for the full year. Step rent forward by the rent growth rate.
Break-even = first year buyer's net equity ≥ renter's portfolio (or null if it never crosses inside the horizon). Recommendation at horizon: 'buy' if buyer is >1% ahead, 'rent' if renter is >1% ahead, otherwise 'tie'.
Inputs: home $500,000; 20% down ($100,000); closing 3% ($15,000); mortgage rate 6.5%, 30 years; property tax 1.1%; home insurance $1,500/yr; maintenance 1%; appreciation 3.5%; selling costs 6%; rent $2,500/mo growing 3%; renters' insurance $20/mo; investment return 7%; horizon 10 years. Buyer side at year 10: Loan amount = $400,000 Monthly P&I ≈ $2,528 Home value = $500,000 × 1.035^10 ≈ $705,000 Remaining principal after 120 months ≈ $338,000 Sale costs at exit = 6% × $705,000 ≈ $42,300 Net equity ≈ $705,000 − $338,000 − $42,300 ≈ $324,700 Renter side at year 10: Initial outlay invested = $115,000 × 1.07^10 ≈ $226,000 Plus cash-flow advantage in any year buying > renting (here typical for first ~3 years), each invested at 7% Total portfolio ≈ $250–270,000 depending on year-by-year gap Verdict: Buyer ahead at year 10 → break-even somewhere around year 7–9. Lengthening the horizon to 20+ years makes the buyer's lead grow rapidly because principal paydown accelerates and the mortgage payment is fixed while rent keeps stepping. Sensitivity: drop appreciation to 1.5% (pessimistic), and the break-even moves out beyond the horizon — renting wins. This is the single biggest swing factor.
Every numeric input to this calculator traces back to one of the following authoritative documents.
Calculation logic is based on data verified for general framework — not jurisdictional tax advice.
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What this calculator does NOT cover:
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Last reviewed
April 29, 2026
Reviewed by
infoz Editorial Team — Editor, Web Publishing Corp
Rent-vs-buy framework patterned on the 2014 NYT interactive. Per-market presets cross-checked against each country's central-bank mortgage statistics + national house-price index.
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